- Total return
- +7.23%
- How much the account grew or shrank over the whole test, after fees and slippage.
- Buy & hold
- +37.37%
- What you would have made by buying at the start and doing nothing. The number to beat.
- Yearly growth (CAGR)
- +3.56%
- The steady yearly rate that would produce the same total return. Short tests exaggerate it.
- Max drawdown
- −32.22%
- The worst fall from a high point to a later low. It tells you how much pain you would have sat through.
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.26
- Return compared with how bumpy the ride was. Above 1 is decent, above 2 is rare. Calculated per candle and scaled to a year, with a 0% risk-free rate.
- Sortino ratio
- 0.40
- Like Sharpe, but only downward moves count as risk.
- Win rate
- 44%
- The share of trades that made money. A low win rate can still be profitable if the wins are big.
- Profit factor
- 1.24
- Money made on winning trades divided by money lost on losing trades. Above 1 means a profit overall.
- Average win / loss
- $947 / −$613
- The typical size of a winning trade and of a losing trade, in dollars.
- Time in market
- 45%
- The share of candles during which the strategy held a position. The rest of the time it sat in cash.
- Trades
- 9
- How many positions were opened. Very few trades means the result could easily be luck.
- Final balance
- $10,723.08
- What the account ended with, starting from the cash you set. Starting cash plus every trade's profit or loss adds up to exactly this.
Values: SMA 20 / 50 on BTC-USD daily candles, 1 Oct 2024 to 29 Sep 2026, Coinbase Exchange, $10,000 starting cash, 0.1% fee, 0.05% slippage. Recorded 30 Sep 2026. An example, not a forecast.